1.50pm – Unibet “15 To Go” Kincsem Handicap (1m2f)
This looks absolutely wide open and as such, I’m opting for a big price. Forest Falcon has been very disappointing on his last couple of starts, but it could well just be time he stepped up in trip. But he’s finished second to both Naamoos and Aerion Power this campaign, is much better off at the weights with both of those now and is a far more attractive price than them. Both his Sire and Dam won over this trip so he should be better for it and if returning to his early season form, could be a player at a big price.
2.25pm – Richmond Stakes (Group 2) (6f)
Even though the ground is drying out, it won’t be any better than good to soft come race time and potentially slightly worse if anymore rain arrives. I think the return to this easier surface is key for Ebro River. Both his wins have come on soft and despite still running very well in Group 2’s the last twice, I think we’ll see a better horse on this slower ground. His listed win on a soft surface was seriously impressive and this speedy track will suit him.
3.00pm – Gordon Stakes (Group 3) (1m4f)
This is an interesting race, as Third Realm was the last horse to beat Adayar, which has obviously caught people’s eye as he’s now favourite. But Adayar has improved a ton since then and Third Realm was left trailing in the Derby. Wordsworth has placed in Group 1’s the last twice in some gruelling races, without ever looking like getting close to Hurricane Lane in either.
Even though he’s carrying a penalty, I think the play is Yibir. He has form tying in with the aforementioned pair but looked a reformed animal when winning last time following a gelding operation. He had loads in hand when winning the Bahrain Trophy and is versatile with regards to ground and tactics. Second to Lone Eagle at this venue, he’s proven on the track and I really don’t think the two ahead of him in the market are clear of him at all.
3.35pm – Nassau Stakes (Group 1) (1m2f)
Audarya has improved remarkably over the past year to win a couple of Group 1’s, but 5 of the last 6 winners of this contest have been three year olds. Joan Of Arc looks the one to be on. She’s got a great profile, progressing with every run, each race this year she’s produced a better rating than the last. She only seems to do what she has to and that’s why she can continue to improve, but her attitude is great, putting her head down and fighting to the line. Winning at the top level last time, I’d say she’s a very talented filly who we haven’t seen the best of yet.
4.10pm – Goodwood Racecourse Patrons Nursery Handicap (7f)
Absolutely no idea, any of them could win this.
4.45pm – TDN Australia EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (7f)
Wilderness Girl has a lot going for her with her hefty £125,000 price tag, market support on debut, form of that debut run and her draw in 2. There aren’t many times a bet at 11/4 in a festival maiden is worth it, but she has almost as much going for her in a maiden like this as you can get, so it’s drawn me in.
5.20pm – World Pool Handicap (5f)
Another competitive sprint where I think Twilight Calls is short enough considering his most recent form wasn’t done any favours here on Tuesday, and he’s 8lb higher. Digital will do for me – his form over 5f reads 22212 on a variety of ground. He’s just very solid at the trip and his form suggests this mark of 83 is definitely still on the low side of his ability.