1.50pm – Unibet “15 To Go” Handicap (1m4f)
Some very nice types have won this in the past, going on to much bigger things, most notably Pethers Moon (Group 1 winner), Dartmouth and Sir Ron Priestley. I think if one of these is going to kick on to be a group horse, it’s Siskany. 4th at Royal Ascot last time, he was ahead of Nagano (who admittedly got hampered) but I think he can confirm the placings on ground conditions he’s already proven on, following his romp on soft ground at Sandown.
He’d beaten the winner of the Royal Ascot contest (Surefire) previously off level weights so that gives substance to the form. Definitely still progressing, he’s actually from the family of the aforementioned Dartmouth. Well drawn in 3, I’d be surprised were Siskany not involved in the finish.
2.25pm – Oak Tree Stakes (Group 3) (7f)
A hot renewal and I’m taking one of the three year olds and one of the older brigade. Bounce The Blues has form figures of 41132 at this distance and likes soft ground. She ran against some really good males over a mile last time which represents strong form, so back against her own sex with her optimum conditions, she should go well.
Although disappointing this season, Lullaby Moon takes a much needed drop in grade from Group 1 level the last twice. Those efforts were also over a mile, so dropping to a distance which she’s won her only try at, is a benefit. Considering she’s won at the track and on soft ground, I’d say she’s overpriced.
3.00pm – Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) (5f)
Fearby and Chipotle are clear on ratings but a few of these could take a big leap forward. Martyn Meade wouldn’t be one for over-running his juveniles, but when he has a good one, he pitches them into the deep end. Eminent, Advertise and Method would be prime recent examples. His two year olds have also been running very well, with a 35% strike rate in 2020 and a 31% strike rate in 2021. The fact he runs Swayze at this level following his maiden win must mean he thinks a fair amount of him. There isn’t much to go on, but there’s enough for me to chance him at 33/1.
3.35pm – Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (1m)
Given what he’s shown so far this season, Poetic Flare will be tough to beat. But he’s untested on this unique track and there’s some far more attractive prices about some of the older horses.
Tilsit won at this meeting last year and comes here off the back of a Group 2 win in the Summer Mile. But his form when a neck second to Skalleti in a Group 1 in France the time before is arguably better. He’s only had seven runs and could easily offer more, despite having already reached a high level.
Century Dream has been around the block, but these ground conditions are perfect. There also doesn’t look too much pace on so he could get an uncontested lead here, which would only enhance his chances. He produced a career-best RPR when winning over this course and distance last year so is worth chancing to at least place.
4.10pm – Alice Keppel EBF Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (5f)
A return to this venue could spark Flotus back into life having disappointed after her mightily impressive win here under similar conditions. Group company has found her out the last twice, but there’s no doubting she has ability. These are much calmer waters today and I think the drop to 5f can help her as she has shown plenty of pace, particularly last time as she basically travelled into the lead on the bridle before weakening. Hopefully she can fulfil the promise she displayed on debut.
4.45pm – Premier Fillies’ Handicap (1m2f)
I think at the prices, Prado is the way to go here. She’s proven on soft having finished second in a Group 3 here last season and this is a far easier race than when 7th in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot last time. She’s stepping up in trip a couple of furlongs which is interesting, but an unknown, but is a half-sister to a winner over the distance so it’s definitely worth a try.
5.20pm – World Pool Handicap (7f)
This track and trip should really suit the run style of Epic Endeavour, who’s been a little too free over 1m this season. He likes to lead so dropping down a furlong on a track where it pays to be front rank should help him produce his best performance of the season. He won 2 of his final 3 starts last year so should still be on the up, providing the right conditions. Epic Endeavour is a soft ground winner so that, combined with this drop in trip should see him go well. He’ll need to get out well to have a chance of grabbing the rail from stall 16, but he should be right up there if he breaks on terms.