1.50pm – Chesterfield Cup Handicap (1m2f)
Maydanny, Majestic Dawn, Cockalorum and Sky Defender all like to go forward and are all coming out of single figure draws, so there could be a hot pace for the first part of this race, which significantly is uphill. That should play to the strengths of those drawn wider than will have time to find their stride and slot in behind.
Migration ran very well at Salisbury last time following a two year absence. He had some good form in 2019 including a couple of handicap wins. A strong finish over 1m last time left the impression he hasn’t lost any of his ability and would definitely appreciate a return to this longer distance. He’s been well found in the market now, but is the obvious winner in my eyes.
One who will relish the recent rain is Lucander. Drawn 18 of 18, he’ll need some luck, but he’s now 1lb lower than runner up efforts at Newmarket both this and last season. Ralph Beckett and Hector Crouch have a remarkable 28% strike rate when teaming up together, they had Surefire win at Royal Ascot and I think Lucander will be right there for them here.
2.25pm – Vintage Stakes (Group 2) (7f)
An intriguing renewal with Berkshire Shadow and Lusail at the head of the betting – personally I can’t split them and think the prices are pretty much spot on. But no horse has won this race carrying a penalty since Olympic Glory in 2012, so both have a trend to overcome.
Aidan O’Brien has a good record in this contest, winning 3 of the last 7 and saddles The Acropolis this time around. Impressive when winning his maiden over 6.5f, he hasn’t really kicked on from that. But he was still a bit all over the place at Royal Ascot and just looked a bit tame at the Curragh. I’d be hugely surprised if he wasn’t better than we’ve seen so far, considering he went off at 6/1 for the Coventry and is O’Brien’s sole representative in this race. He has a bit to find with the principles, but the weight he receives will certainly help.
3.00pm – Lennox Stakes (Group 2) (7f)
I’m a big fan of Space Blues, but a wide draw over this rapid 7f is far from ideal, especially when you’re backing a favourite. Creative Force sets a pretty good standard on this seasons form and has a great position in stall 2. But I think Happy Power is a solid each way bet. He’s won at the track, has his optimum conditions of 7f with give underfoot, which he hasn’t had since October last year, which coincidently he won. His fourth in the Diamond Jubilee at Royal Ascot was a terrific run which puts him bang there on form this campaign. Stall 5 is great and the booking of Ryan Moore is eye-catching.
3.35pm – Goodwood Cup (Group 1) (2m)
A cracking renewal of the Goodwood Cup where Stradivarius is slowly becoming an attractive price. Trueshan is short enough now and I don’t think Spanish Mission or Sir Ron Priestley will like the recent rain.
The Aidan O’Brien pair of Santiago and Serpentine get my vote to at least hit the frame. Softer ground is a huge help for Santiago, as both times he’s encountered it, he’s won. I think it’s more a case of he handles it a lot better than most and that’s enough for me to chance him. Serpentine is worth another go as a stayer, especially at a track which he should handle. He went round Epsom like he was on rails and I’d love to see Moore go forward and let him roll here. Ground won’t be a bother to him and his Champion Stakes effort showed his Derby win was no fluke.
4.10pm – Goodwood Handicap (5f)
Rewaayat has gone off favourite in his last 5 races, but has only won once. His second to Arecibo on his penultimate run has been franked and he also ran well at this meeting last year. He’s pretty quick and he just weakened late on, so dropping to 5f at this sharp venue should prove ideal for him off just 1lb higher.
Despite winning three starts back, Recon Mission remains on a very handy mark. He’s a winner off 97 and was rated 100 last year, so his current rating of 86 catches the eye. The rapid nature of Epsom suits him, where he won most recently before running well in the Dash there, but chased too strong a pace. He blew out at Chester last time time but that happens with these sprinters. Goodwood will play to his strengths and he’s weighted to win.
4.45pm – British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (6f)
Marcus Tregoning won this last year and can follow up with Olivetti. The half-brother to Royal Ascot winner Perotto (who won his maiden here at Goodwood) was slowly away on debut before running on nicely to be 6th. I’d expect a nice bit of improvement from that effort and in a race where we know very little, he looks a value play.
5.20pm – Unibet Fillies’ Handicap (1m)
Each of the previous 5 renewals have been won by three year olds and with Star Seeking a non runner, this now looks wide open. I’m opting for Anghaam, who has shown a lot of promise and continued to improve. She likes to go forward and should be in a good position for this course. She stays 1m2f so Crowley should be able to make plenty of use of her and given her illustrious pedigree, I’d expect her to improve once more.
5.50pm – World Pool EBF Fillies’ Handicap (6f)
Gellhorn has won 2 of her last 3 starts and she’s still a filly very much on the upgrade. I was impressed with the way she tanked through the race at Newmarket last time, arguably travelling too well and over-racing, but still winning relatively comfortably. Based on that I don’t think a 4lb rise will be enough to stop her winning again.